F8Risk Profile
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Loss-attribution catalog. Which market features distinguish loss days per strategy family. Promoted patterns recurred at |Z|≥1.5 in ≥2 attribution runs (stable regime markers fed to the live recommender); latest patterns are the top features from the most recent attribution per family.
Promoted Regime Patterns|Z|≥1.5 in ≥2 runs
Latest Patterns — per strategy familytop features by |Z|
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Counter-Strategy Verdict (Session 15)27 IC common-loss days, 500-day window
COUNTER STRATEGYLOSS-DAY WR%ALL-DAY WR%LIFTTOTAL $ ON LOSS DAYSVERDICT
afternoon_long_strangle88.9%22.6%+66pp+$3,996Historical leader — removed from live 2026-05-12
afternoon_long_call74.1%27.0%+47pp+$3,020Best — Tier A validated counter
morning_long_call51.9%48.2%+4pp+$358Mild positive
morning_long_put_slight_up29.6%40.4%-11pp+$44Flat
morning_ic_strong_up66.7%49.0%+18pp-$245Smaller loss
morning_jade_lizard59.3%43.8%+16pp-$293Smaller loss
morning_scs_heavy_up55.6%55.8%−0pp-$101Flat
morning_sps_heavy_down77.8%64.6%+13pp-$117Mild positive
afternoon_sps74.1%86.4%-12pp-$936Loss
afternoon_scs37.0%87.4%-50pp-$1,617Catastrophic
afternoon_ib0.0%59.8%-60pp-$4,011Same-regime victim
afternoon_jade_lizard11.1%77.4%-66pp-$3,996Hypothesis falsified

Implication: when today's features match the IC-loss-regime catalog at ≥medium severity, swap IB → LongCall (Tier A validated IC counter). Strangle was the top counter (+66pp) but is removed from live deployment.