02Risk & Entry — will it contain · which gates pass · flags · what's live to trade now
Containment—
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Live Filter Arms—
Risk Flags—
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Trade Radar—
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real-chain research EV at the 15:15 ET auto-sell · sized per loss-budget · not auto-traded
Late-Entry Viability—
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real 1-min chain · entered at each time, held to the 15:30 realizable close · mid + $0.01/leg · green = PF-LB > 1.0 (gate-clearing) · NOW-entry strikes are live-SPY estimates (real fills on the deploy blotter) · WS auto-sells short-vol ~15:15, so a 15:00 entry is a ~15–30 min hold — hold-to-settlement (IBKR) captures more
Strategy Reference — the validated edges behind today's legs
Validated Strategiesthe edges behind the legs
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Charts — 5-day history + 2-day forecast · today intraday · ±1 EM band · VIX 1σ cone
5-Day History + 2-Day Forecast±1 EM band · VIX 1σ cone · analog median
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Today price±1 EM bandVIX 1σ ±2d coneAnalog medianPrior close
Intraday — SPY 5-min (today)—
Intraday bars load during market hours.
Live Signals & Monitors — intraday pulse · regime-through-day · adaptive entry · gap bounce · EMA events · option chain · alerts
Gap Bounce Signal—
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open ≥0.3% below 15m 21-EMA → OR-break-up = long call · OR-break-down = bear call spread · stall exit · signal only, not auto-traded
EMA Events—
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slow-EMA (100/150/200) cross-retest + touch-fade signals · shadow strikes/prices are model estimates · signal only, not in the deployed book, not auto-traded